Friday, October 31, 2014

Islamism and Islamists: A very short introduction

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Islamism today has many faces: militant groups in Iraq and Lebanon, political parties in Tunisia and Egypt, and regimes in Iran and Saudi Arabia. But this umbrella term conceals the fact that these groups use different tactics, tap into different grievances and have different political goals. Lumping them together is a gross oversimplification – it is time for an overview.
Although often associated with terrorist groups, the term Islamism simply denotes a political project inspired by Islam. Current streams of political Islam all belong to a wave of Islamist revivalism, the likes of which was last seen on several occasions between the 11th and 14th centuries. Their goal is the re-Islamisation of their respective societies, and ultimately a state based on the principles of Islam. The three major currents belonging to this wave, however, differ starkly on religious doctrine, on what kind of state to establish, and how to fulfil their objectives. In contrast to adherents of ­authoritarian Islamism, who believe they have already accomplished the goal of creating an Islamic state, advocates of both revolutionary and electoral Islamism are ‘changists’, seeking to replace incumbent regimes. The latter two disagree, however, on the means to bring about the desired change, as well as on the form of the Islamic state to be achieved.
 
Islamism and Islamists:
A very short introduction
by Florence Gaub
 
European Union Institute for Security Studies October 2014 2
Although several attempts have been made to restore

the title since the abolishment, the Muslim

consensus necessary to pick the next caliph has

never materialised. Self-proclamations, such as

that recently of Islamic State (IS) leader Abu Bakr

al-Baghdadi, have no validity in accordance with

Sunni tradition. This absence of a unifying figure

offers some explanation as to why Sunni Islamic

authority is particularly fragmented today.

Around the same time as the fall of the Ottoman

empire, school teacher Hassan al-

Banna founded
the Muslim Brotherhood in Egypt. The society


had three objectives, which have since remained

largely the same: social renewal based on Islamic

values, the long-term implementation of traditional

Islamic law, and ending foreign occupation

of Muslim lands (at that time by the United

Kingdom). Al-Banna’s vision was a progressive

and gradual one: he advocated re-Islamisation

through means of charity and information, and

can be seen as the founding father of what is now

the Sunni branch of electoral Islamism.

The foundations of Sunni revolutionary Islamism

were laid down twenty years later by Sayyid

Qutb, also an Egyptian civil servant. Qutb rejected

al-Banna’s incremental approach and believed

that only the violent overthrow of existing

regimes (all of which he considered ‘un-Islamic’)

would lead to the establishment of a fully Islamic

state – a position which led to his execution in

1966. Al-Banna and Qutb, albeit both Muslim

Brothers, symbolise the two factions which have

dominated the re-Islamisation movement since

the 1950s: the progressive/electoral versus the

revolutionary/terrorist approach.

Created shortly after the birth of the Muslim
Brotherhood, Saudi Arabia was the first Arab


state to base its existence on Islam. A safe haven

for Islamists persecuted elsewhere in the Arab

world, the country only gained traction as the

region’s ideological powerhouse after the sudden

and exponential production of oil allowed it to

spread its own ‘brand’ of Sunni Islam – Salafism

or Wahabism – from the late 1960s onwards.
Ideological nuances
 
 
What is potentially confusing is that every form

of current political Islam claims to be somewhat

influenced by Salafism – but there is disagreement

over what this means in practice amongst

the various contenders. In the decades following

independence, institutional Islamic clergy were

repressed in countries such as Egypt, Tunisia

and Morocco. Salafism therefore began to spread

in the Arab world not only because Saudi Arabia

actively engaged in proselytism, but also because

the theological field had been left vacant.

Salafism as a movement is not necessarily a militant

one. It is a school of thought advocating the

return to the purest form of Islam as practiced by
Muhammad’s ‘companions’ – Salaf meaning ancestors


or predecessors. Today, Salafism is practiced

mainly in Saudi Arabia, the United Arab

Emirates and Qatar – and is strongly influenced

by the conviction that obedience to authority is

key. Proponents of revolutionary Islamism (who
see themselves as the real Salafis) disagree with


this notion, and see all current Muslim governments

as un-Islamic and therefore legitimate targets.

While electoral Islamists such as the Muslim

Brothers sympathise with Salafism’s rhetoric of

Islamic renewal, their progressive approach has,

in practice, meant making concessions on issues

such as gender equality and political pluralism.

Such compromises are, however, rejected by

most Salafi thinkers on the grounds that they

contradict Islamic principles. This explains why

al-Qaeda’s leader al-Zawahiri once wrote an entire

book condemning the Muslim Brotherhood

for acquiescing with Egypt’s leadership ever

since its inception. His recent (contradictory)

vocal support for the organisation following the

ouster of President Muhammad Morsi is a mere

tactical move.

Shiite Islamism lacks these ideological debates,

and does not challenge the revolutionary-turnedauthoritarian

Islamism of Iran. It does, however,

have representatives in both revolutionary and

electoral branches.
The three main streams
 
 
▪ The children of the revolution


The notion that an Islamic renewal will be triggered

by a revolution began to take root in the

1970s: the defeat against Israel in 1967 exposed

the shortcomings of Islamism’s main political

contender, pan-Arabism, and in 1979, Shia
revolutionary Islamism toppled Iran’s regime.


Ayatollah Khomeini claimed Iranian supremacy

over all Muslims (in spite of the fact that Iran

is a Shia state and around 90% of Muslims are

Sunni) and openly called for an overthrow of the

Gulf monarchies. Sunni revolutionary Islamism,

albeit different in many ways, drew inspiration
European Union Institute for Security Studies October 2014 3
 
from Iran’s successful example, and has, on occasion,

been funded by Tehran, too.

While the rhetoric emanating from Iran was

frightening enough to its neighbours, actual attempts

to topple first the Saudi regime in 1979

and then the Bahraini one in 1981 confirmed

revolutionary Islamism (whether Sunni or Shia)

as a genuine threat to Arab regimes. Egypt’s

President Anwar Sadat was assassinated in 1981

by Islamic Jihad during a military parade, and

similar groups began to form in Algeria, the

Palestinian territories and Lebanon. Arab governments

chose three broad tactics to counter

revolutionary Islamism: repress their populations,

engage in a sectarian war of words against

Iran, and co-opt certain Islamist groups considered

to be moderate. A fourth tactic emerged

following the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan

in 1979: it provided a welcome opportunity to

actively encourage young men who adhered to

revolutionary Islamism to take up arms against

the communist occupation of Muslim lands.

But the hope that the concept and these men, like

Osama Bin Laden, would fade away in the mountains

of Afghanistan proved false. Revolutionary

Islamism was galvanised

by the Soviet

withdrawal in 1988,

the arrival of American

forces in the Arabian

Peninsula following

the invasion

of Kuwait, and the

Palestine Liberation

Organisation’s renunciation

of violence,

which led to the creation

of Hamas in

1987. Returnees from

Afghanistan began to train in camps in states

such as Sudan, Yemen and Somalia, and established

a database of those volunteers who had

attended – hence the name al-Qaeda (Arabic for

‘the base’) attributed to the organisation by US

secret services.

Revolutionary Islamist terrorist attacks, involving

suicide bombings, became a global phenomenon

from 1998 onwards. Groups such as al-

Qaeda, IS, Beit al-Maqdis, Ansar al-Sharia and

others routinely employ terrorism in an attempt

to weaken governments and trigger a uprising

of the Muslim population against their rulers.

They differ in tactics, however; whereas al-Qaeda

seeks to hit the ‘far enemy’ (i.e. the US and

its allies), IS, for instance, takes the fight to the

‘near enemy’ – ranging from secular Arab governments

to adherents of different faiths. This

tactical choice is, however, determined by feasibility

rather than ideology.

But in spite of the recent hysteria over Sunni

revolutionary Islamism, it is clear that all groups

have failed to inspire the uprising they desire.

Whether in Algeria, Iraq, Bosnia or Saudi Arabia,

Sunni revolutionary Islamism has never managed

to garner large-scale and lasting support.

In this regard, it stands in stark contrast to the

Iranian revolution, a mass event which enjoyed

popular backing.
▪ The descendants of the founder


Less prominent than revolutionary Islamists,
electoral Islamists – groups which chose to follow


Hassan al-Banna’s tactic of a progressive and

gradual Islamisation of society – also emerged on

the political scene from the late 1970s onwards.

This happened first in Sudan with the admission

of the National Islamic Front to parliament in

1979, and later with the creation of the Islamic

Salvation Front in Algeria in 1988. Hizbullah,

a Shiite militia created in 1984 with Iran’s support,

has participated

in Lebanon’s elections

since 1992. The

Muslim Brotherhood,

albeit formally banned,

fielded individual

candidates for political

office in Egypt

from 1984 onwards.

Its Palestinian counterpart,

Hamas, won

the elections in 2006,

while the Turkish AKP,

founded in 2001, secured

a majority in 2002 and has been in power

ever since. In Iraq, dozens of Islamist parties

– both Shia and Sunni – have dominated

the political landscape following the removal of

Saddam Hussein in 2003.

But it was the overthrow of governments in

Tunisia and Egypt which provided Sunni Islamist

political parties with the necessary launch pad to

come to power. In Tunisia, Ennahda (the Tunisian

outlet of the Muslim Brotherhood), won 37%

of votes cast in the country’s first free elections;

in Egypt, six Islamist parties participated in the

2011 elections, with the Muslim Brotherhood’s

Freedom and Justice Party winning 34.9% and

its Salafi competitor, Nour, 25%. The Muslim

Brotherhood’s candidate, Muhammad Morsi,
‘Revolutionary Islamism was

galvanised by the Soviet withdrawal in

1988, the arrival of American forces

in the Arabian Peninsula following the

invasion of Kuwait, and the Palestine

Liberation Organisation’s renunciation

of violence...’
 
European Union Institute for Security Studies October 2014 4
 
then went on to become president in 2012 with

51.73% of the vote.

Although these parties share a broad political

goal, they nevertheless disagree over content

and strategy. In Egypt, Nour joined the anti-

Muslim Brotherhood alliance in spite of their

shared Islamist background, arguing that the

Brotherhood is too flexible on issues such as allowing

women and Christians to serve in office,

and too tolerant towards Iran. In the tradition of

Hassan al-Banna (and in stark contrast to IS), the
Egyptian Muslim Brotherhood did not seek the


establishment of a state encompassing all of the

Muslim community. Although al-Banna favoured

the pursuit an all-Islamic state, he nevertheless

accepted the existence of Egypt as a country.

Electoral Islamism is often viewed with suspicion;

this is in part because some of its representatives

started out as revolutionary movements (such

as Hamas in the Palestinian territories, Dawa in

Iraq and Hizbullah in Lebanon) or eventually resorted

to violence (such as the Algerian Islamic

Salvation Front). When parties favouring electoral

Islamism have reached power, their track record

is mixed: the Sudanese National Islamic Front

supported not only an authoritarian government

but also the strict implementation

of Islamic law,

Dawa proved to be a divisive sectarian actor in

Iraq, whereas the Tunisian Ennahda successfully

embraced political pluralism. President Morsi’s

constitutional decree of 2012, which granted

him near absolute powers, fuelled fears of an

undemocratic Islamist regime in Egypt and undermined

the Brotherhood’s earlier declarations

advocating a pluralistic and democratic society.
▪ The established regimes


There are currently only a few states which actually

come close to embodying the ideal of

an Islamic state. Aside from Saudi Arabia and

Iran, Islamist governments have also existed in

Afghanistan (1996 – 2001) and, to some extent,

Sudan (since 1989). Both Saudi Arabia and

Iran rest their legitimacy on a certain form of

Islamism, although they are, in essence, authoritarian

regimes. Saudi Arabia has declared jihad

illegal on its soil and argues that as its political

system is perfectly in line with Islamic doctrine,

there is no need for elections or political pluralism.

Across the Persian Gulf, Iran’s political

system is based on the supremacy of the Shiite

clergy.

The difference between the two states is that while

Iran’s revolutionary-turned-electoral outlets,

such as Hizbullah, accept its authoritarianism,

Sunni revolutionary and electoral Islamism challenge

Saudi Arabia either by violent means or

by offering a political alternative. Although ideologically

distinct from Iran, the two wings nevertheless

echo Teheran’s rhetoric of change – fostering

Saudi fears of an alliance between Sunni

‘changists’ and its geopolitical rival. These fears

seem somewhat unfounded, given the different

political goals of Sunni and Shia revolutionary

Islamism in Syria, Iraq, the Palestinian territories,

and Lebanon.

In an attempt to roll back both revolutionary and

electoral Islamism, Saudi Arabia has reversed

some of its previous positions and adopted a

hard line. It lately declared both Hizbullah and

the Muslim Brotherhood to be terrorist organisations,

although the latter’s leadership was granted

exile in Saudi Arabia for decades. And though

the Saudis once supported Islamist groups in

Syria fighting the Assad regime, it has joined the

international coalition in its bombing campaign

against IS. Riyadh also sent troops to Bahrain in

2011 to quell a Shia uprising it claimed was instigated

by Iran. Most importantly, Saudi Arabia

is financially supporting Egypt’s new government

in order to ensure stability in a country which

was traditionally a hub of political Islam.

Although clothed in doctrinal and sectarian

rhetoric, the current struggle among the three

Islamist wings is ultimately one concerning

political

power.
Florence Gaub is a Senior Analyst at the

EUISS.
 
 

Security... Staying ahead: the US and future technologies



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The US is determined to remain the world leader

in defence technology. After several years of procurement

and research cuts (a 14% reduction to

$168 billion in fiscal year 2013 and a further 4%

to $162 billion in 2014), the US is now planning

to stabilise spending levels in this field. To ensure

that it stays ahead in the technology game even in

times of tighter budgets, the Pentagon will shift

more money to basic research and early stage developments

– the level where concepts are turned

into prototypes. The trade-off is that the budget

for system development and demonstration is being

reduced, meaning that many promising new

technologies may never materialise or enter production.

Meanwhile, the US will continue producing

systems of incrementally improved levels of

technology so as to ensure that its military keeps

its edge until new breakthrough technology can

be fielded.
Knowledge is power
 
 
New technologies are game changers in war and

peace. By exploiting its advantage in science and

technology during the Cold War, the US was able

to counter the Soviet Union’s superior numbers of

soldiers, tanks and aircraft. Technologies such as

smart bombs, stealth aircraft, remote surveillance,

command and control networks and other hightech

systems were all developed during the Cold

War and provide the basis for US conventional

military dominance today.

However, the spread of technological know-how

and aggressive efforts of other countries to catch

up in the fields of natural sciences and engineering

means that the US may soon face technologically

equal (if not superior) competitors and opponents.

Technology superiority remains a priority

for all the major powers in the world. Though

the US is adamant that it should retain its lead in

defence technology, Russia has embarked on an

ambitious technological modernisation process

of its own. Elsewhere, China is investing heavily

in new technologies able to destroy satellites and

new weapons able to evade missile defences while

India recently demonstrated its ambitions by successfully

sending a space probe to Mars.

To ensure it remains the undisputed leader in

defence technology, even in an age of austerity,

Washington plans to ‘leap-frog’ a generation of

technologies. This strategy has been proposed before

but never fully implemented. Then presidential

candidate George W. Bush proposed moving

beyond marginal improvements to skip a generation

of technology in 1999. Once in office, however,

the pressing needs of two major land wars in

Central Asia and the Middle East made procurement

of existing gear more important than future

research needs.

This time around, it may be different. While money

remains tight, the Pentagon will ring-fence its

spending on research, development, test and evaluation

(RDT&E) programmes for future gear at
Staying ahead: the US and future technologies
 
by Jan Joel Andersson
 
Advanced Tactics/REX/REX/SI PA
 
European Union Institute for Security Studies October 2014 1
 
© EU Institute for Security Studies, 2014. | QN-AL-14-042-2A-N | ISSN 2315-1129
 
 
the expense of current procurement. A shift is also

planned within the RDT&E budget itself. Since

spending on RDT&E will remain relatively flat,

the Pentagon wants to further cut its spending

on system development and demonstration (reducing

it from $20 billion in 2009 to $10 billion

in 2018) to protect basic research and early stage

development: the level at which real technology

breakthroughs take place.

The drawback of this focus on future technologies

is that many promising projects still in the pipeline

may never be fielded. With this approach,

the US is expected to produce more prototypes

but not put them into production. To compensate

the military for these ‘gap-years’ of slower modernisation

in the medium term, the Pentagon will

receive more resources to allow the military to finalise

and field short-term technological advances

and upgrades.

Cuts in discretionary spending required by the

Budget Control Act of 2011 have reduced or

slowed down planned purchases over the last

three budgets of a variety of weapons systems

and equipment – such as manned and unmanned

aircraft, helicopters, ships, ground vehicles, and

communication systems. Once current ongoing

major programs (like the replacement of the current

Ohio-class ballistic missile submarines for the

US Navy, the Space Fence for the Air Force, the

WIN-T battlefield network for the US Army, and

the Advanced Air and Missile Defence Radar) are

completed, the expectation is that many newly developed

technologies will be shelved.

This push for leap-frogging ahead requires an element

of risk-taking and a willingness to tolerate

failure. While the US is increasing funding for

Pentagon and Defense Advanced Research Projects

Agency (DARPA) research, private industry is also

expected to increase its own investment in defence

R&D. Between 1999 and 2012, top US defence

industry companies cut their internal R&D

spending by a third. And while some US defence

companies are now slowly reversing this trend,

the majority of companies have yet to do so.
Mind the (transatlantic) gap
 
 
A major challenge for the future is the US’ ability

to protect R&D funding in a worsening economic

climate. Unfortunately, not much extra funding

can be expected from Washington’s closest partners,

the member states of the EU and NATO,

since they consistently underspend in the fields of

research, technology and development (RTD).

That Washington is increasingly frustrated by

what it perceives to be European unwillingness to

provide enough investment in military capabilities

and defence research is well known – and has

long been a sore point of contention across the

Atlantic. Over the past ten years, the aggregate

defence expenditures of the 26 members of the

European Defence Agency (EDA) has been about

half of the US total. In GDP terms, this translates

to a 1.6% of GDP spent on defence in the EU compared

to 4.8% in the US. There is also a significant

difference in how money is allocated. While EU

member states spend about 20% of their defence

budgets on investments in new capabilities, the

US share is around 30%. The difference is even

more pronounced when it comes to research and

development. In 2010, EU governments spent a

total of €9 billion on defence R&D – the US €58

billion.

There is a risk that Europe may not only lose its

competitive advantage vis-à-vis other actors but


also lose its ability to collaborate with its most important

partner and ally. The difference between

Europe and the US is not only how money is spent

but also on how to approach future technologies.

There is growing concern that Europe is focusing

more on bringing today’s or even yesterday’s

technologies and capabilities to the field then on

developing tomorrow’s potential game-changing

technologies – meaning that transatlantic security

and defence cooperation could become increasingly

difficult.

A major reason for this concern is that new technologies

and capabilities take a very long time to

develop, are costly to field and, once in place, are

to be around for decades. Any new capabilities

must therefore be able to adapt to various types

of future scenarios. Some capabilities, such as airto-

air refuelling, drones and strategic transport,

are generic capabilities necessary for almost any

future scenario – while others are not.

However, many new technologies in areas of vital

importance to security and defence – such as

satellites, communications networks and cybersecurity

– are increasingly driven by commercial

innovators and not traditional defence industry

companies. The relationship between high-tech,

civil security and military defence have become

increasingly blurred. Given that European industry

is quite advanced and competitive in some of

these areas, there are still opportunities for Europe

to remain in the race to stay ahead in technology.
Jan Joel Andersson is a Senior Analyst at the

EUISS.
 
 
European Union Institute for Security Studies October 2014 2

Thursday, October 23, 2014

#OttawaShooting The Day After..

We Pay Our Respect                                                   7320

While I was paying my respect:
I brought Prayer, Psalm 130, Out of the Depths I cried to you oh! Lord.
Some brought Flowers... 
and the Muslim Community brought their sincere Condolences.

 http://o.canada.com/news/muslim-canadian-community-denounces-violence-braces-for-backlash-533632 
           

              Fallen Soldier Cpl.Nathan Cirillo