well I can tell you that the destruction
of the early warning uh strategic radar which was part of the Russian early warning system was a good example of such a trigger uh we're very fortunate that the Russians have not responded to that that alone raises eyebrows because people assume well you're trying to destroy our early warning system the next thing we should expect is a nuclear attack so that's very very dangerous and I think something in that category is is probably going to trigger now keep some things in mind first of all nothing happens on the ground in Ukraine or I would argue in most of Eastern Europe that the Russians aren't aware of remember they have space-based intelligence surveillance and reconnaissance it's very very good secondly I think it's very important for us to understand that we've had some strikes recently using Hypersonic missiles in the vicinity of laau we think a 100 officers NATO and Ukrainian were killed in that now we we don't admit to the US officers and support Personnel who've been killed in Ukraine we just don't admit it the French have been embarrassed because it was hard to cover up the British don't admit anything nobody wants to admit that they've got anybody on the ground there but that was a signal that was an underground facility that was a well-known former Soviet area era barracks and Airfield and so forth a big training hub for NATO and Ukraine and they annihilated it killing at least 100 and wounding another 200 it was a major major strike it's hard for me to believe that we are so stupid as to as to announce our willingness to strike Russian territory and not understand that what happened in Western Ukraine could happen in Poland Lithuania lvia Slovakia and we need we need to wake up uh this these are not idle threats the capabilities exist and again if he senses that we are going to mass air power we've got a th f-15s remember f-15s are nuclear capable and if if they show up in great numbers in six or 700 and prepare to launch I would expect those aerody dromes airfields to be lost the Russians will Target them and the easiest way to annihilate them is with a tactical nuclear weapon I don't see any change in Washington now in the foreseeable future uh unless the Russians retaliate very strongly against us in Eastern Europe and I'm talking about as I said before these key areas logistical sites airports uh and so forth even even logistical Nets that rail I I disagree with John Ma mimer and I rarely do the one thing that I disagree with here is he talked about we would be dragged into a war wrong John we've been dragging Europe into this war from day one the Europeans now have second thoughts they're scared and in fact behind this facade of uh solidarity things are falling apart why why do you think Schultz spoke and said what he did everybody else in Europe nodded their heads no we are not invading Russia it's not going to happen we're the ones that continue to provoke we're the ones that are continuing to maintain with British help this this corrupt puppet regime in KF whose only mission in life is to either sacrifice as many ukrainians as possible and to do as much damage as they can to Russia and frankly they haven't done much damage at all you know today it was announced that Russia has officially become I think the fifth largest economy in the world after Japan gosh what a huge achievement for the Biden Administration and his friends and stupid supporters in both parties sitting in Congress they've made Russia a superpower again what this represents uh and what is actually happening in the Ukraine I think you're witnessing the spring uh rainstorm Before the Flood and this is really one of those shaping operations uh it's it's going to contribute to the fall of carof and the movement further west and North by area it's very clear right now that there are several things baking in the oven one is what I just just described the other is coming south out of ber Russia a potential buildup there well actually it is a buildup and I think that they at the right point in time will sweep South and cut off KF by that time most of these Russian troops should be further west now what's the point of all of this first of all if you know that you're winning and that is clearly the case with the Russians what are you concerned about you're concerned about taking no unnecessary AR casualties so the emphasis on keeping Russian losses very low is probably greater now than at almost any point in this War uh Putin and his generals have been very very concerned about the preservation of Russian life more so I would argue than any previous Russian or Soviet military establishment in living memory and right now I think that continues to bother here at the same time you've got to look at the maps look at the road Nets look where the Rail lines are look look at the rivers and streams and then you'll see that these shaping attacks make sense so I think you're going to see something much larger and much faster in the near future because he does want to wrap this up the question is as he wraps this up what occurs in KF especially when it becomes clear that the Russians are headed down towards it as from the north as also from the East I suspect we'll see zinski packing his bags and leaving now it's ironic because cuz from the Western perspective and I want to look at what it at least on the surface appears to be almost contradictory information one one thing may look like it's something positive for the Russian side and another thing looks like it's on the negative side for the Russian uh for example Bloomberg here P published just a couple of days ago saying that Putin is really running out of time uh because he's trying to get this achieve this breakthrough uh he is he made this incursion into the north part of the car area on on the 10th of May and the the the claim at least on the western side is that he has bogged down after getting about 10 kilometers in in these two areas not by lip and Vol Chon we'll show that on the map in just a minute uh that it's bogged down and now it's stopped and the flow of Western Aid has started to come through Ukraine had a bunch of uh reinforcements that they moved up into the area and are now actually conducting uh limited uh counterattacks and are taking back some of the territory in the volchansk city City itself how how do you compare those things with the The View that you just shared well I can't confirm the validity reports I think there are several things at play here first I would be very suspicious of any claims of Ukrainian advances anywhere what we get uh is evidence that ukrainians are abandoning positions abandoning defensive lines abandoning Villages so that the Russians are not being compelled to fight very hard at all for any of it secondly the Russians continue to invite and want more Ukrainian forces to come north and go east the more they can bring up there the easier it will be further south when they cross the nepper river so the Russians have a lot of things on their minds at this point now as far as our weapons are concerned keep the following in mind Chancellor Schultz who is on a on very weak ground obviously has now made it very clear publicly contradicting macron directly saying there will be no European ground forces in Ukraine under any circumstances so I think that's very that's very important and and whoever thinks ukrainians are making gaining ground should keep that in mind macron has now acknowledged this we are now admitting this so they're no longer concerned about a a direct NATO military intervention on the ground they do look carefully at our air power that's something that is always in the backs of their minds and they are moving their air integrated air defenses at every level forward very slowly very deliberately to ensure that all of their forces in the field are protected but I think the notion that uh the the aid that we are providing is somehow another making a big impact is just ridiculous unless you want to talk about the so-called strike systems that the ukrainians are using against the Civil population in Russia it's killing Russian civilians in various places but that does nothing to Russian military power but it does a great deal stiffen opposition to the ukrainians inside Russia well it depends I I think it largely validates it because I know that the Russian general staff wants very much to draw in whatever remains of the Ukrainian Army that wants to fight they want to destroy it and by moving towards kov in particular their facility ating it because what you don't see when you look at the mass of those troops are the enormous numbers of Rocket artillery systems tactical ballistic missiles various drone batteries all of which take their toll on the ukrainians because ukrainians have practically no whatsoever so this is from the Russian standpoint thank you very much continue to continue to arrive in great numbers and we'll put an end to this sooner rather than later the Russians as I said before don't see any point in sacrificing any lives in any major assaults against prepared Ukrainian troops the other reports that keep coming in from ukrainians that are out there fighting tell us that they know there's nothing behind them what I mean by that is that they know there are no defenses that they can fall back on this is a very serious and dangerous position to be in this happened to the Germans by the way towards the end of the war as they fell back they couldn't prepare new defenses there was no time for for it by the time they had established a you know a weak defense line within a few days the Soviets arrived with overwhelming numbers so I think the ukrainians are now in a very similar position there there's nothing behind them on the way to K what might trigger this move because I I I could also show you and I wish I had loaded them up earlier uh there's a number of videos that show uh large amounts of Russian armor in that area where that map was where it showed these 200,000 actually up around between right there in the middle there you see that the the ksk oblast belgrad oblast in those areas there's been lots of videos of large AR armor formations that then basically disappear into the forest so that they can't be seen in large numbers but in order to attack in order to launch something like this there's going to have to be some kind of large movement at some point do you have any sense of what might precipitate that no uh and you know admittedly on time there were times when I saw evidence for major offensive operations developing only to be told it's not going to happen and the Strategic Defense which was the Cornerstone of Russian military operations certainly for most of the first two years uh remained unchanged I think you're going to see a change this summer I think they'd like to end this before the fall so my gut tells me that you know all of this positioning all of these shaping attacks and massing of forces all indicate that that's in the offing one of the things I would be very careful not to believe are these assertions once again from Western media oh the Russians are running out of ammunition oh the Russians are running out of equipment the Russians are running out of this how many times have we heard that Dan yeah that's just not right it's not it's not true now Biden seems to be saying Hey look it's no big deal we're not talking about firing on the Kremlin we're just talking about firing a little bit north into the into the Russian uh side of the Border here so it's no big deal Putin's not going to do anything what do you say to that first of all the decision to allow strikes into Russia is is not incentivizing anything it's an act of desperation Dan we've we have no more cards to play unless we want to commit our air power and if we commit our air power fly flown by us Pilots it's clear and unambiguous evidence that we're at war with Russia Everything Changes immediately and we we confront the reality that we could have tactical Nuclear detonations at every major Logistics base Airfield air strip from effectively Latvia all the way down to Romania so that's certainly not going to happen in my judgment but you know it's it's irrelevant these strikes are irrelevant they're not attacking military targets they are overwhelmingly attacking civilian Targets in civilian areas in in neighborhoods trying to kill Russians we don't seem to be telling the truth about that of course of course we're not telling the truth about much of anything either but nevertheless I think we should keep that in mind as for underestimating or not taking President Putin seriously we haven't taken the man seriously yet I mean for 20 years he'd been making abundantly clear what Moscow would or would not accept in Eastern Europe would never accept Ukraine as a member of NATO would not accept the presence of NATO forces on Ukrainian soil would not tolerate Ukrainian or excuse me Western weapon systems missiles intelligence operations or anything else let alone biolabs on Ukrainian soil and finally he was pushed to the brink and before he in intervened in eastern Ukraine he also provided a a proposal that we wouldn't even look at you know proposals at least deserve a look proposals are the beginnings of diplomacy and and negotiation we've never been willing to engage in either it's either our way or the or the highway it's a dead end so I think it's a lot of Bluster and nonsense and it's not going to help matters it's not going to avoid our embarrassment it it it's not the way to avoid a war with Russia 
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