Friday, March 27, 2026

Admiral Cihat Yaycı reveals the surprise awaiting U.S. soldiers

 Bloggers note: 20 min. Explains the USA ISRAEL PLAN for Iran                            see transcript below 

 Admiral Cihat Yaycı reveals the surprise awaiting U.S. soldiers

                   https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9kPOsZpEJ4E

Information: In this video, the audio only comes from the left channel when using headphones. Measures have been taken to prevent a similar situation from happening again. Thank you for your understanding. A potential "Hark Island" operation, which is heating up the waters in the Gulf and has the potential to trigger a global energy crisis, is only the tip of the iceberg of the dangerous scenario being played out. Looking at the map from a broader perspective, it becomes clear that the real plan goes far beyond cutting off Iranian oil; it aims to plunge the region into chaos and create a multi-faceted ring of fire targeting the ancient Turkic homelands on our border. At the beginning of the map, GZT Editor-in-Chief Doğukan Gezer asks the questions, and Retired Rear Admiral Prof. Dr. Cihat Yaycı, a faculty member at Topkapı University, explains the real objectives on the ground. Instead of risking a direct ground operation, the proxy forces that the US and Israel are preparing to deploy are being quietly evacuated from Turkey and Iraq under whispers of a "peace process" and moved directly to northwestern Iran, specifically the West Azerbaijan region. The target is a region where 45 million Turks live, a geography whose demographic structure is sought to be changed through bloodshed. While the operation to revive the "Four Parts" dream is being carried out step by step through the PJAK and PKK apparatuses; on the other hand, the "Samos Phase," in which Iran will target the water treatment and electricity facilities that are the lifeline of the Gulf countries in case of a possible attack, is preparing to upset all the balances in the region. So, are the clear intervention messages read during Nowruz and these terrorist apparatuses amassed in West Azerbaijan a geopolitical bait thrown to draw Türkiye into an irreversible regional trap? What is the real plan in this chessboard orchestrated by the US and Israel, aiming to sever the ties between Turkey and the Turkic world through terrorist organizations? 00:00 Introduction 00:54 Will Trump launch a ground operation against Iran? 02:51 Where is Hark Island and why is it a target? 06:34 How powerful is the US in the region? 10:45 What is the "Samos Phase"? Who will Iran target? 11:40 A major threat to the Gulf countries: Will water and electricity facilities be targeted? 17:50 The real danger for Turkey: PJAK and plans on our border 19:56 What does the Kirkuk-Ceyhan oil pipeline mean for Turkey? Note: Our AI-generated voiceovers aim to emulate the original speaker but may not fully capture language nuances or intricacies despite our efforts for accuracy and quality. Join GZT to enjoy exclusive privileges: / @gzt

 

 TRANSCRIPT 

We warn once again. We had warned before. Azerbaijan’s entry from the north. Those American troops and Israeli troops landing could end up devastated here. Kharg Island is a tiny island. There is this risk.
12 seconds
If Iran masses its troops here, what else can the Iranian army do on land while resisting this airborne landing or amphibious operation on the island? There is another point. There are also opportunities for Turkiye.
24 seconds
Hello to everyone from the GZT News Center. We are here with Admiral Cihat Yaycı, a faculty member at Topkapı University, at the map. Admiral, welcome. Thank you.
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Our broadcasts are followed with great interest, but at the beginning of this program, could we once again make a call for viewers to subscribe to the channel? Yes.
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I would like all of you to subscribe to the GZT channel, because we truly put in a great deal of effort. And we would also like to thank you very much for the
47 seconds
interest you show in our programs. We would be more pleased if you follow them by subscribing.
52 seconds
Thank you. Admiral, once again the map of Iran is before us. We have been addressing it very frequently in recent broadcasts and from different
59 seconds
perspectives. Our current topic is the ground operation brought up by Trump. The impressions on the map regarding what we can also call a land assault. What is your expectation? How might Trump’s statements be reflected on the ground?
1 minute, 11 seconds
In which regions do we see greater risk? And we may also ask where a possible ground operation would begin.
1 minute, 15 seconds
Yes. Now first of all, Iran is approximately 1.6 million square kilometers in area. And the troop strength in Iran
1 minute, 30 seconds
together with reserves, that is, including reservists, is between 1.2 and 1.5 million.
1 minute, 40 seconds
So, bringing from here to the Persian Gulf, from the Sea of Oman, two American amphibious assault ships
1 minute, 49 seconds
and with approximately 5,000 marines aboard those amphibious assault ships
1 minute, 58 seconds
it is simply not possible to occupy a country of 1.6 million square kilometers with roughly 1.5 million potential troops through a ground operation.
2 minutes, 8 seconds
Therefore, the United States would have to conduct a ground operation not only with American forces, but together with other forces in a multi-front manner.
2 minutes, 19 seconds
Because these ships—these ships are currently outside the Strait of Hormuz— meaning that in order to carry out a landing, to conduct a ground operation from
2 minutes, 29 seconds
the sea, all of these forces and ships must be passed through the Strait of Hormuz. However, at present, there is no situation allowing them to pass through the Strait of Hormuz.
2 minutes, 42 seconds
It is extremely dangerous, highly risky, and it is very difficult for these two ships to safely enter and prepare for a ground operation.
2 minutes, 51 seconds
Where could a ground operation be conducted? As we stated in previous programs,
2 minutes, 55 seconds
current developments confirm what we said. We said that if such an operation were to take place, it would be on Kharg Island.
3 minutes, 1 second
What is now being discussed is also a ground operation on Kharg Island, not across all of Iran. What kind of island are we talking about?
3 minutes, 8 seconds
Now, Kharg Island is like this. Let's show it. Kharg Island is a very small island. It hosts oil facilities. Its location is here and it is approximately
3 minutes, 18 seconds
it is 15 miles away from the Iranian coast and it is approximately 100–150 miles away from the coasts of Kuwait and Saudi Arabia.
3 minutes, 35 seconds
What does that correspond to in kilometers? Around 250–300 km from the coasts of Kuwait and Saudi Arabia. and about 25–30 km
3 minutes, 42 seconds
from the Iranian coast. So it is much closer to Iran’s Bushehr coastline. Iran also has, here as well, oil shipment facilities.
3 minutes, 53 seconds
Crude oil and natural gas are transported here via pipelines to the island, and there are piers on the island.
3 minutes, 59 seconds
There are piers deep and suitable enough for large ships to dock, with
4 minutes, 5 seconds
sufficient depth for large tankers to berth. So oil and natural gas arrive at this island
4 minutes, 16 seconds
and are loaded here and then shipped onward.
4 minutes, 20 seconds
Now, a landing must be carried out on this island. Either an amphibious landing from the sea or an airborne insertion.
4 minutes, 33 seconds
Now, an amphibious landing from the sea appears somewhat difficult. An operation could be conducted via airborne insertion, but it would need to be followed up.
4 minutes, 41 seconds
Why would the United States do this? It would do so for the following reason: 90% of Iran’s oil is exported from here.
4 minutes, 50 seconds
Now, if 90% is exported from here, then if it seeks to strike economically, to push Iran into an economic crisis, to halt its revenues, then this is Iran’s economic heart.
5 minutes, 2 seconds
But note that Kharg Island has been continuously bombed until now. It was struck.
5 minutes, 9 seconds
Trump also stated this. We struck it, but in a way that would not disrupt oil production or the export process.
5 minutes, 14 seconds
Yes, they only targeted military elements; they did not strike the oil facilities or the natural gas transport facilities and storage. Why? Not for Iran’s benefit.
5 minutes, 24 seconds
It is not a matter of “we are granting this to Iran; we did not strike its oil facilities, but we could. We do not wish to harm you economically.” Do you know why they did not strike them? Because if Iranian oil cannot flow,
5 minutes, 37 seconds
then a very serious global crisis would emerge, and reactions would intensify significantly.
5 minutes, 43 seconds
China and other states purchase oil and natural gas from here. They would certainly react strongly, as they would be severely affected.
5 minutes, 51 seconds
So the situation here is not a concession or a favor to Iran.
5 minutes, 57 seconds
It is the United States refraining from bombing oil and natural gas facilities out of concern over reactions.
6 minutes, 3 seconds
Moreover, if a new administration comes, they will continue to exploit oil and natural gas in this manner.
6 minutes, 9 seconds
If these facilities were bombed, it would take at least five years to rebuild them. During those five years, a serious global oil and gas crisis would arise.
6 minutes, 18 seconds
Because in terms of oil and natural gas, Iran ranks among the world’s top three to five.
6 minutes, 26 seconds
So can you imagine? The flow of oil and gas from one of the world’s richest energy-producing states is being prevented.
6 minutes, 34 seconds
Well then, Admiral, if we return to the island—there are two possibilities, as you mentioned, in terms of establishing control. How would an airborne insertion scenario unfold?
6 minutes, 41 seconds
What might American troops encounter on the island? Now, the United States has its 5th Fleet in Bahrain, its 5th naval fleet,
6 minutes, 50 seconds
and 10,000 troops in Qatar. It also has forces in the United Arab Emirates.
6 minutes, 55 seconds
It has troops in Bahrain alongside the 5th Fleet, and also in Kuwait. From these locations, through helicopter operations...
7 minutes, 4 seconds
Because Iran’s ability to use its air force is now almost nonexistent. Its aircraft were already very old. Due to the embargo, it could not effectively use them.
7 minutes, 13 seconds
Spare parts were not arriving; neither this nor that was available. Iran has missiles, but it is impossible to defend this island solely with missiles.
7 minutes, 21 seconds
In other words, there is a serious vulnerability in Iran’s ability to defend this island.
7 minutes, 26 seconds
There are troops on the island, but Iran lacks the capability to provide them with an air cover.
7 minutes, 33 seconds
Apart from missiles that could attempt to stop incoming air power, it has no other means.
7 minutes, 38 seconds
The United States possesses air defense systems capable of countering these missiles, both through air force elements and air defense assets.
7 minutes, 48 seconds
It has already deployed air defense elements and systems to the region. However, ships must also be brought in simultaneously.
7 minutes, 57 seconds
In fact, even for the United States, establishing an air umbrella in this region is not easy. Why? Is there even a real need for it? Not particularly, because Iran does not pose a significant air attack threat—at least not to a large extent.
8 minutes, 11 seconds
In that case, if it proceeds only with an airborne insertion without bringing in ships, then there is this risk:
8 minutes, 19 seconds
If Iran masses its troops here, the American and Israeli troops landing could be overwhelmed. Because the engagement would take place on land, meaning there could be intense ground combat.
8 minutes, 30 seconds
So what else can Iranian troops, the Iranian army, do while resisting this airborne or amphibious landing on the island? There is actually quite a lot that
8 minutes, 39 seconds
can be done. Iran is also stating this. Now Iran is saying this because the green areas indicate oil fields.
8 minutes, 46 seconds
And this is the South Pars field struck by the United States and Israel—jointly operated by Qatar and Iran, meaning Iran also has a share here.
8 minutes, 56 seconds
This portion belongs to Iran,
8 minutes, 58 seconds
here Iran extracts natural gas. And here, Qatar extracts natural gas. In fact, the delimitation of maritime jurisdiction areas is as follows.
9 minutes, 13 seconds
How should we interpret the expansion of the conflict to these fronts?
9 minutes, 17 seconds
Now, first of all, it struck the Pars field. Qatar reacted. Iran reacted as
9 minutes, 22 seconds
well. It also impacts Qatar’s economy. However, Iran says: if you land on my Kharg Island, or conduct a ground operation, or attack my electricity
9 minutes, 32 seconds
infrastructure, my energy infrastructure as you did this morning, then I will respond in kind.
9 minutes, 39 seconds
And such a response is entirely natural. Because there is a group here that sustains American forces. As you may have noticed, this group recently held a meeting.
9 minutes, 49 seconds
In Oman. And in that meeting, they only blamed Iran. They did not blame the United States or Israel. So they ask: why is Iran attacking us? When we say Iran
9 minutes, 57 seconds
is attacking, in fact it was the United States and Israel that initiated this war. It would have been appropriate to say a word or two to them as well.
10 minutes, 5 seconds
Apart from Turkiye, it seems no one else is voicing this— No. There is only Turkiye. Turkiye condemns this. Turkiye reacts strongly.
10 minutes, 12 seconds
Turkiye states that this is unlawful. But there is no voice from the United Arab Emirates, Oman, Qatar, Bahrain, Kuwait, or Saudi Arabia. On the contrary,
10 minutes, 24 seconds
they go on to condemn Iran. Now Iran says: if you are enabling attacks against me from here,
10 minutes, 31 seconds
if you are providing bases here to American and Israeli forces, then I will strike the places from which I am attacked.
10 minutes, 39 seconds
This is my right to self-defense; this is retaliation. Iran says it will retaliate. Where will it retaliate? You have hosted and supported them
10 minutes, 49 seconds
sufficiently. And now my patience has run out. Rather than striking their bases, I am moving to another phase.
10 minutes, 57 seconds
I am moving to another phase. That phase is referred to as the Samos phase. In international terminology, it is called Samos.
11 minutes, 4 seconds
That is, I will strike critical points—places that will truly hurt you. For instance, Iran struck a nuclear facility in Israel, but did not directly destroy it.
11 minutes, 13 seconds
Yet it signaled that it could. It said it could. This was a serious warning.
11 minutes, 18 seconds
That Israeli nuclear facility, where plutonium bombs are produced— no one says anything about it. It is said that Israel has over one hundred plutonium bombs. No one raises any objection.
11 minutes, 30 seconds
So this is the state of global justice—let everyone see it. Iran also conveyed that if it strikes there, nuclear fallout would severely harm Israel as well.
11 minutes, 38 seconds
But it also sent a message to the Gulf countries: the United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia, Qatar,
11 minutes, 45 seconds
and Kuwait. It issued a warning. It said: store your water. Charge your phones
11 minutes, 51 seconds
for 48 hours. Why? Because I will strike the seawater desalination and osmosis
11 minutes, 57 seconds
facilities off the coasts of Abu Dhabi and Dubai, as well as the similar plants in Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and Kuwait. These facilities do not only produce water.
12 minutes, 8 seconds
They do not just produce water; they also generate electricity.
12 minutes, 17 seconds
Now, if Iran strikes these facilities,
12 minutes, 23 seconds
what happens? First of all, about 90% of the water supply for these countries comes from these facilities. A significant portion of electricity also comes from here. First, there will be no water.
12 minutes, 35 seconds
Water reserves may last two days, but then they will run out. And water here is even more critical than oil.
12 minutes, 44 seconds
The world’s largest desalination plants are located here, in the Gulf.
12 minutes, 48 seconds
And if they suffer heavy damage, the time required to rebuild them—I examined this—is around five years.
12 minutes, 56 seconds
Around five years. It would take five years to return to current production levels.
13 minutes
Five years, at least 5 And approximately— Consider the United Arab Emirates, for example. It would require an expenditure of 15 billion dollars.
13 minutes, 10 seconds
If we consider this further, what happens then? Electricity is also cut. Now imagine: summer is beginning. Can people live there without air conditioning?
13 minutes, 20 seconds
Then this situation resembles the book “Millennium 2000.” Do you remember? There was an earthquake scenario in a country, even describing us. However, there the
13 minutes, 31 seconds
situation begins as an attack on a single state but quickly turns into a regional war.
13 minutes, 37 seconds
Here as well, the situation would evolve into regional conflict and instability. Do you know why?
13 minutes, 43 seconds
Because populations left without water, electricity, and air conditioning—those accustomed to comfort—would rise up against their governments.
13 minutes, 52 seconds
Why do people pledge allegiance to sheikhs, emirs, and sultans? Because there is wealth.
13 minutes, 59 seconds
And American forces are stationed in these places, acting as guardians of these dynasties.
14 minutes, 4 seconds
Now, can you imagine the reaction of a population deprived of water against the government? Uprisings would begin, saying: you made us a target.
14 minutes, 16 seconds
All balances would change here. Therefore, such attacks by Iran could trigger
14 minutes, 21 seconds
change and unrest across a much wider region. But what if, instead of Kharg Island, a ground operation is carried out elsewhere?
14 minutes, 31 seconds
What possibilities are there, Admiral? Then our scenario is as follows. As we said, a multi-front ground operation. How would it be conducted? By using others. We warn once again.
14 minutes, 43 seconds
We had warned before. Azerbaijan’s entry from the north. The United States cannot easily control Turkmenistan, but
14 minutes, 52 seconds
Afghanistan’s Taliban— as the saying goes, “raise a crow and it will peck out your eye.” Iran also
14 minutes, 59 seconds
supported them greatly, as you know, and even sent many people to us—from Afghanistan. And nothing would come from Pakistan. Pakistan would not get
15 minutes, 6 seconds
involved in this. But if Afghanistan does, and if Azerbaijan enters from here— You had also opened a parenthesis regarding Azerbaijan— Yes. And shortly after that, the first missile fell. Indeed.
15 minutes, 16 seconds
Yes. And we had warned. We said that through a provocation, a scenario, a setup—“Iran attacked Azerbaijan, and Azerbaijan is now expected to respond under
15 minutes, 26 seconds
its right of self-defense.” This would severely harm the region. It would also harm Azerbaijan.
15 minutes, 33 seconds
And a very serious situation would arise in this region. Truly. It would also create a critical situation for Turkiye.
15 minutes, 40 seconds
Meanwhile, in West Azerbaijan— this is West Azerbaijan. PJAK has been positioned here.
15 minutes, 51 seconds
Now PJAK—and here is Barzanistan.
15 minutes, 58 seconds
PKK members moved from Turkiye to Iraq without suffering any losses
16 minutes, 7 seconds
under the so-called solution process. Since no operations were carried out against them for months, they gathered in Kandil in a highly reinforced and well-supplied state. And with the January 30 agreement,
16 minutes, 27 seconds
an agreement was signed with Syria: “do not attack us anymore,” and similar assurances.
16 minutes, 32 seconds
And when it was said that YPG and SDF elements not originally from Syria should leave Syrian territory, the terrorist organization seized the opportunity and transferred its forces to Iraq.
16 minutes, 42 seconds
They gathered here. Trump and Netanyahu met with them.
16 minutes, 52 seconds
They told them to be ready for a ground operation. They assembled—PKK, PKK taking orders from Zionists,
17 minutes, 2 seconds
moved into Iran and became PJAK there.
17 minutes, 8 seconds
They regrouped and formed a five-party consortium of all these groups. They again met with Trump and Netanyahu.
17 minutes, 16 seconds
They said they were ready for a ground operation and to strike from here. And Azerbaijan from here, PKK from here,
17 minutes, 24 seconds
and groups from Afghanistan striking from here—thus a multi-front operation,
17 minutes, 29 seconds
both internally and externally, a multi-front offensive,
17 minutes, 36 seconds
And in this front, with the United States also entering from the south— Let us assume it also enters Kharg Island and from here as well. Then a multi-front attack on Iran could take place. This is within the realm of possibility.
17 minutes, 48 seconds
However, the part that concerns us most here is the PKK–PJAK seizing Turkiye’s eastern borders.
17 minutes, 54 seconds
Note that during this latest Nevruz, a message from Bafel Talabani was read in Diyarbakır. It was an astonishing message.
18 minutes, 1 second
It calls for interference in Turkiye’s internal affairs and speaks of a struggle for freedom in four parts.
18 minutes, 7 seconds
In other words, by referring to a so-called Kurdish region in Iran as part of “four parts of Kurdistan,” it incites rebellion. It also declares that full
18 minutes, 16 seconds
independence will be proclaimed in Iraq. It says the gains in the so-called Kurdish region of Syria must not be lost.
18 minutes, 24 seconds
And in Turkiye, in the so-called Northern Kurdistan— it calls for uniting and achieving victory in this so-called struggle for
18 minutes, 32 seconds
freedom. Such a message was read in Diyarbakır, in a province of Turkiye, in public squares, delivered from an individual.
18 minutes, 41 seconds
This message also serves as preparation for internal unrest in Iran to be carried out by the PKK under the direction of the United States and Israel.
18 minutes, 50 seconds
Here, West Azerbaijan is not a Kurdish region. As its name indicates, West Azerbaijan is a Turkish region. We have long been warning the Turks here about this.
19 minutes, 2 seconds
These PKK–PJAK elements have forcibly expelled them from the region through violence. They are trying to do so, including in Urmia. But let them not forget this.
19 minutes, 11 seconds
Let them not forget this. This place is unlike any other. Here,
19 minutes, 16 seconds
there are 45 million Turks.
19 minutes, 20 seconds
And if Turks are pushed— which I sincerely do not wish—into an ethnic war or
19 minutes, 26 seconds
forced into defense, if they are driven from their homes, Turks will flow into
19 minutes, 31 seconds
this region. Therefore, Azerbaijan must not act together with PJAK and PKK in line with U.S. directives. It must not. It must not.
19 minutes, 40 seconds
Azerbaijan, I repeat, is our brother—be cautious, do not fall into the trap set by the United States and Israel. Otherwise, the outcome will be as follows:
19 minutes, 50 seconds
PKK and PJAK, will take control of these areas, and you too will face a PKK–PJAK problem. Meanwhile, there is another point. There are also opportunities for Turkiye.
20 minutes
Now, since the flow of oil through the Strait of Hormuz has been disrupted, an opportunity arises for Turkiye from this situation. This is also very important.
20 minutes, 9 seconds
The Kirkuk–Yumurtalık pipeline has begun operating again for the first time. It had been inactive for quite some time.
20 minutes, 14 seconds
Iraq also seeks to export its oil from here—Kirkuk oil. Barzani is also attempting to assert control over Kirkuk. However, Kirkuk is not part of the Barzani region.
20 minutes, 24 seconds
Nor is it part of the broader Northern Iraq region. Kirkuk is a Turkish city.
20 minutes, 29 seconds
The oil of Kirkuk and Mosul— this Barzanistan, this “Zionistan,” is trying to lay claim to them as well. These belong to the central government.
20 minutes, 37 seconds
They do not have a separate entitlement to them. Using this pipeline, they transport it to Turkiye. This creates an opportunity for Turkiye amid the crisis.
20 minutes, 48 seconds
Thank you, Admiral, for your valuable contributions. Let us also once again call on viewers who have watched this broadcast to subscribe to our channel. Thank you.

 

 

 

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